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Michigan Retail Index

3-Month Outlook


Percentage of Michigan retailers projecting increase (% Proj. Inc.), no change (% Proj. No Ch.) or decrease (% Proj. Dec.) in activity during the next three months.

* Index = Seasonally adjusted diffusion index. A diffusion index, which is the sum of the percent of respondents indicating increase and half the percent indicating no change, is calculated and then seasonally adjusted using the U.S. Census Bureau's X-11 Seasonal Adjustment procedure. Index values above 50 generally indicate an increase in activity, while values below 50 indicate a decrease.

3-Month Outlook 1994-2007
Current Performance
Current Performance 1994-2007

  Sales Inventory Prices Marketing/
Promotions
Hiring Plans
2008

% Rep.
Inc.

% Rep.
No Ch.

% Rep.
Dec.


Index*

% Rep.
Inc.

% Rep.
No Ch.

% Rep.
Dec.


Index*

% Rep.
Inc.

% Rep.
No Ch.

% Rep.
Dec.


Index*

% Rep.
Inc.

% Rep.
No Ch.

% Rep.
Dec.


Index*

% Rep.
Inc.

% Rep.
No Ch.

% Rep.
Dec.


Index*

December
November
October
September
August 40 28 32 53.4 34 32 34 45.5 46 49 5 71.4 57 41 2 73.5 12 74 14 47.8
July 35 26 39 48.5 21 39 40 39.4 44 51 5 69.6 37 53 10 64.1 6 77 17 45.7
June 36 27 37 47.9 19 40 41 38.2 50 46 4 72.8 43 52 5 68.0 11 70 19 45.4
May 40 30 30 53.0 25 43 32 45.6 49 45 6 74.3 31 65 4 65.6 7 80 13 46.3
April 39 24 37 49.0 21 42 37 40.1 46 50 4 71.8 38 58 4 69.5 8 80 12 46.6
March 54 21 25 59.6 27 40 33 43.9 46 50 4 67.4 44 51 5 67.7 13 74 13 47.7
February 39 28 33 50.0 28 39 33 41.3 43 49 8 65.2 46 48 6 68.0 9 74 17 45.0
January 42 24 34 53.4 27 37 36 43.0 38 56 6 67.4 46 49 5 68.8 4 77 19 41.5